G4 929 · RFD → PGD

departs 5:47 PM CT · arrives 10:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RFD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 929 · RFD → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?