Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 948
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 948 · SBN → PGD
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SBN
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.