G4 979 · CHA → PIE

departs 9:07 AM ET · arrives 10:53 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at CHA that day

↓ 9am departures from CHA are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CHA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.10 in

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 979 · CHA → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?