G4 980 · PIE → LEX

departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from PIE are often late

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

PIE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

LEX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 980 · PIE → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?