Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 985
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 985 · EYW → PIE
departs 4:17 PM ET · arrives 5:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↓
PIE usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.