MQ 3344 · DFW → HRL

departs 9:31 PM CT · arrives 11:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HRL?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at HRL that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ HRL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

HRL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.85 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3344 · DFW → HRL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HRL?