MQ 3355 · DFW → ILM

departs 7:10 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.22 in

ILM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3355 · DFW → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?