Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3387
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3387 · AMA → DFW
departs 4:17 PM CT · arrives 5:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sat 10/3 53%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,033 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AMA
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 867 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.