MQ 3391 · HOU → DFW

departs 8:19 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HOU that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.07 in

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3391 · HOU → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?