Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3397
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3397 · DFW → BNA
departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 9:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 9%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.08 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.