MQ 3403 · DFW → CRP

departs 10:42 AM CT · arrives 12:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CRP that day

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

CRP (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3403 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?