MQ 3406 · DFW → CRP

departs 8:17 AM CT · arrives 9:48 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CRP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.09 in

CRP (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3406 · DFW → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?