Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3426
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3426 · DFW → TUL
departs 7:10 AM CT · arrives 8:22 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 9%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.