Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3486
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3486 · CRP → DFW
departs 10:17 AM CT · arrives 11:51 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 8%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
↓
10am departures from CRP are usually not late
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.