MQ 3494 · DFW → SGF

took off 12:43 PM CT · landed 1:37 PM CT (scheduled 12:23 PM CT → 1:53 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SGF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

SGF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3494 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SGF?