Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3506
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
MQ 3506 · DFW → ELP
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 1:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
ELP is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.23 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.