Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3507
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3507 · EVV → DFW
departs 5:14 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EVV
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
EVV (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.