Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3513 IN THE AIR (OFF 8:41 AM CT, ETA 9:23 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

MQ 3513 · DFW → FSM

took off 8:41 AM CT · expected to land 9:23 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at FSM more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ MQ's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

FSM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3513 · DFW → FSM

Odds over time