MQ 3535 · ABQ → DFW

departs 10:06 AM MT · arrives 1:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3535 · ABQ → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?