MQ 3545 · ORD → MCI

departs 11:59 AM CT · arrives 1:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3545 · ORD → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?