Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
MQ 3547 · GRK → DFW
departs 3:08 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.12 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.