Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3547 · GRK → DFW
departs 3:08 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at GRK that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.