Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3551 · DFW → GRK
departs 8:35 AM CT · arrives 9:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at GRK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to GRK?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at GRK that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into GRK at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
GRK (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.