MQ 3612 · DFW → AEX

departs 9:07 AM CT · arrives 10:29 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at AEX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AEX?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at AEX that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Arrivals into AEX at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

AEX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3612 · DFW → AEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to AEX?