MQ 3625 · DFW → ECP

departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 11:37 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.5 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ECP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

ECP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3625 · DFW → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?