Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3659
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3659 · DFW → ABQ
departs 6:46 PM CT · arrives 7:39 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.05 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.