Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3677
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3677 · MEM → DFW
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 74%
Sat 10/3 46%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MEM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.