MQ 3795 · CRP → DFW

departs 6:29 PM CT · arrives 8:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ CRP usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CRP (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3795 · CRP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?