Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3890 · COU → DFW
departs 7:26 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
COU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at COU
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
Weather at each end
COU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.