Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 3890 · DFW → COU
departs 5:13 PM CT · arrives 6:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at COU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to COU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at COU
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
COU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.