Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3907 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

MQ 3907 · ORD → IND

departs 8:37 AM CT · arrives 10:11 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3907 · ORD → IND

Odds over time