MQ 3910 · DFW → LRD

departs 2:11 PM CT · arrives 3:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LRD more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LRD?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LRD that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ LRD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

LRD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3910 · DFW → LRD

Odds over time

How late will it get to LRD?