MQ 3990 · DFW → AMA

departs 10:41 PM CT · arrives 12:07 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMA

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

AMA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3990 · DFW → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?