MQ 3996 · DFW → TXK

departs 1:24 PM CT · arrives 2:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at TXK more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TXK?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at TXK that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TXK usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

TXK (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3996 · DFW → TXK

Odds over time

How late will it get to TXK?