Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4019
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
MQ 4019 · DFW → MYR
departs 7:28 PM CT · arrives 11:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MYR that day
↑
7pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
MYR (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.