Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4067
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 4067 · BTR → DFW
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BTR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BTR that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from BTR are usually not late
Weather at each end
BTR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 1.37 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.