Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4097
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 4097 · DFW → BTR
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 10:58 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at BTR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BTR?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BTR that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
BTR is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into BTR at that hour are usually not late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
BTR (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.71 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.