Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 4110 · DFW → LFT
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LFT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LFT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at LFT that day
↑
11am departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DFW that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
LFT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
LFT (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.68 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.