MQ 4114 · DFW → PNS

departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 3.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4114 · DFW → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?