MQ 4133 · ABQ → PHX

took off 7:41 PM MT · landed 7:40 PM MT (scheduled 7:30 PM MT → 8:04 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from ABQ are often late

↓ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at PHX that day

↓ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at ABQ that day

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4133 · ABQ → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?