MQ 4165 · DFW → MCI

departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 6:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4165 · DFW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?