MQ 4169 · DFW → SAV

departs 3:40 PM CT · arrives 7:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.18 in

SAV (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.97 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4169 · DFW → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?