MQ 4202 · MTY → DFW

departs 7:19 AM CST · arrives 10:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MTY (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4202 · MTY → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?