MQ 4315 · DFW → CAE

departs 3:42 PM CT · arrives 7:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CAE?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CAE that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CAE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.26 in

CAE (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4315 · DFW → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?