Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5018 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5018 · PHL → MKE

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.13 in

MKE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5018 · PHL → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?