OH 5054 · PHL → BHM

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

↑ 11am departures from PHL are often late

↓ Arrivals into BHM at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

BHM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5054 · PHL → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?