Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5066 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5066 · PHL → TYS

departs 5:48 PM ET · arrives 8:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.11 in

TYS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip1.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5066 · PHL → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?