Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5087 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5087 · DFW → TRI

departs 1:24 PM CT · arrives 4:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TRI?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TRI that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ TRI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

TRI (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5087 · DFW → TRI

Odds over time

How late will it get to TRI?