Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5186 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

OH 5186 · DFW → MOB

departs 9:59 PM CT · arrives 11:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MOB?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.1 in of rain forecast at MOB that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ MOB usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MOB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip3.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5186 · DFW → MOB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MOB?