Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5194 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

OH 5194 · HRL → DFW

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:50 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at HRL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from HRL are usually not late

Weather at each end

HRL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip2.15 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5194 · HRL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?