Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5221 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Today

OH 5221 · AVL → PHL

departs 10:57 AM ET · arrives 12:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from AVL are usually not late

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

PHL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5221 · AVL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?